Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 82.355419 92.150891 102.127684 113.018363 124.541589 136.342658 149.313223
2025-09-14 68.103959 82.375228 97.515120 114.646448 133.373017 153.112738 175.386690
2025-09-21 57.943169 74.540937 92.709394 113.814829 137.417174 162.784049 191.900636
2025-09-28 49.131283 67.111788 87.387950 111.511704 139.034928 169.109568 204.123577
2025-10-05 45.643197 65.332878 88.046066 115.549365 147.381186 182.568671 223.935994
2025-10-12 41.921838 62.864246 87.563578 117.975025 153.642512 193.486611 240.738055
2025-10-19 37.180422 58.721702 84.749593 117.368513 156.153937 199.946657 252.336029
2025-10-26 33.045438 54.991049 82.148287 116.763103 158.453482 205.990521 263.310473
2025-11-02 29.981088 52.392612 80.740444 117.421283 162.097337 213.469739 275.830778
2025-11-09 26.595847 49.089518 78.231870 116.550144 163.768440 218.535952 285.472086
2025-11-16 23.988918 46.644667 76.660534 116.704491 166.563279 224.832983 296.470036
2025-11-23 21.161082 43.651426 74.196817 115.590224 167.697226 229.077321 304.998463
2025-11-30 19.458863 42.204498 73.739694 117.018271 171.974122 237.111793 318.061654
2025-12-07 18.019285 41.039725 73.590485 118.792847 176.651740 245.616894 331.688635
2025-12-14 15.861070 38.562271 71.497915 117.925982 177.950183 249.995196 340.380793
2025-12-21 13.476745 35.478473 68.386068 115.578537 177.278866 251.907922 346.072489
2025-12-28 13.144297 35.802632 70.127154 119.698279 184.801519 263.788360 363.677205
2026-01-04 12.389266 35.327595 70.667462 122.173008 190.210950 273.082886 378.187440
2026-01-11 10.897402 33.399910 68.980867 121.554275 191.603518 277.418455 386.714407
2026-01-18 9.545385 31.575089 67.349629 120.936653 192.941464 281.646336 395.081285
2026-01-25 8.604831 30.429302 66.683864 121.608110 195.919393 287.879812 405.860639
2026-02-01 7.421800 28.650905 64.950568 120.719390 196.809355 291.485765 413.425753
2026-02-08 6.554641 27.410549 63.993535 120.876856 199.039043 296.738098 422.979356